Mixing Pieces, Solving Puzzle - Ongoing Political Crisis in Pakistan

From Azadi March to Inqilab March, which supposed to have achieved their objectives on August 14, 2014 are still looking to get their demands using different means and tactics with no fruitful results so far. Since the announcement of these marches by Imran Khan and Tahir ul Qadri, there were many speculations that its a foreign conspiracy against Pakistan, and its purpose is to destabilize the country. But these remain just speculations until Javed Hashmi left the long march and disclosed the plan that it was indeed a conspiracy but not a foreign but created by few armed forces personnel and those who had contacts with high ranking officials of Pakistan Army, and its purpose was to create restless in the country and make the situation so tense that Army will take over the government. 

It was obvious that Army, Imran Khan and Tahir ul Qadri will deny it and they did, and immediate press release from ISPR confirms the fact that Army tried to clean itself and it did. But it gave us one clue that indeed Army had some part in it, and it had to back off after Jave Hashmi revealed it. 

While this political situation within the country there came another clue when India started firing within Pakistan border. One can claim that India got advantage of the Pakistan's political crisis and tried to further weaken the government through security threats. It seems unusual as current Pakistan's government is working on establishing friendly relationships with India and there had been exchange of gifts between Prime Ministers of both countries. It may give a prospect that apparently India is also establishing friendly relationships with Pakistan but in reality its almost heading towards war with Pakistan. It is connected with the internal political crisis within the country two parties are trying to destabilize the country through sit-ins, marches and calling for campaigns like civil disobedience, writing political slogans on currency notes (knowing that it will make the notes null and void), and from borders first India and now Iran is also trying to destabilize the country through security threats. Opening of fire by Iran on FC only confirms one thing that it is also involved in the conspiracy (as claimed by Rtd General Aslam Baig), and opening fire is the sign of frustration when all other plans fails. Firing from India is also a sign of frustration. 

The question is why would India and Iran would involve in a conspiracy to destabilize Pakistan as current government is working on establishing friendly relations with both countries? 

In my analysis it all has to do with Gawadar Port, Nawas Sharif has always been in favor of Gawadar port and giving its contract to China, every time Nawaz Sharif has come in power he has worked on establishing Gawadar Port with support of China and it is also one of the objectives of this Government. This port is in interest of Pakistan and China and is a threat to Iran, India and even Dubai. China may have more advantage of this port compared to Pakistan but government is planning to bulit power plants in country with help of China to overcome energy crisis, so its a win win situation for both countries but it will effect the trade of Iran and India. What put Iran, India and Imran Khan's interests in align is that, if this Government is able to solve energy crisis of Pakistan then it is guaranteed that it will win next election with huge margin and Imran Khan's dream of becoming Prime Minister will die; and if Gawadar port comes in operation then trade of India and Iran will be affected and Pakistan's economy may become stronger then theirs. 

Will this bomb explode or can government diffuse it? only time can tell


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